The Adviser Issue 9 | Page 55

MARKETS & INVESTING

In times of volatility or uncertainty a common question from clients is : “ Should I invest now , or do I wait for a better time ?” The cynic ’ s view is perhaps that there is never a good time to invest as there is always something to worry about . However , we know there is an opportunity cost of not investing , particularly given the current inflationary pressures , but it ’ s important we help clients understand that short-term worries shouldn ’ t over-ride their long-term objectives . Einstein is rumoured to have said that “ Compound interest is the 8th wonder of the world – he who understands it , earns it … and he who doesn ’ t , pays it ”. The simple message is , when it comes to investing , regardless of how volatile markets may seem to be , the earlier investors can start , the better . For example , we ran a study1 that compared two investors , each saving $ 1,000 a month . One started in 2004 and the other in 2007 . We ran it to the end of 2021 . The investor who started in 2004 saved an extra $ 36,000 into their pot ( by starting three years earlier ), but by the end of 2021 the earlier investor had a pot worth $ 133,000 more – having only put in an extra $ 36,000 . A great example of the power of compounding and the difference a delay in starting could cost in the long run . But what about the worries your clients have of staying invested during falling markets , as short-term views can perhaps over-ride the longer term ? We know cash can be seen as a safe haven when there is uncertainty , as the value doesn ’ t appear to change from one day to the next , hence the question ‘ should I stay invested ?’ What does change though is what cash can buy as its value gets eroded by inflation . Fuel is a great recent example that clients are all familiar with . A litre of unleaded was around £ 1 in June 2020 . It ’ s now up around the £ 1.50 mark . Let ’ s think about the behavioural aspect of this as well . Humans tend to avoid uncertainty . We don ’ t deal with it well . Cash brings certainty . It also brings a feeling of control . As the amount of cash in a savings account doesn ’ t really change from one day to the next , we feel in control of it , even if we aren ’ t seeing the impact of inflation on purchasing power . Benjamin Graham , author of The Intelligent Investor , put this another way . He said : “ You will be much more in control if you realise how much you are not in control ”.

As asset managers we have control over risk profiles , asset allocation , fulfilment and cost . We , or any other investor , don ’ t have control of markets , but by focussing on these elements and filtering the noise , we look to deliver strong risk adjusted returns , as we know these factors are key in driving long-term returns . So whilst behaviourally we prefer to avoid uncertainty , investing involves accepting degrees of uncertainty whatever our approach to risk . We can ’ t control the market volatility so investors also may be asking themselves whether it ’ s worth selling down assets so they can then buy them back more cheaply later . Again , we would argue no – we believe remaining invested is important . Napoleon said : “ A genius is the man who can do the average thing when everyone else around him is losing his mind ”. Does ‘ do the average thing ’ mean remain invested ? Basically , yes . We looked at what would have happened if an investor had put $ 100,000 into a basket of global equities from 2005 – 2022 . Over those 17 years , just leaving things be , gave an average annual return of 8.1 % 2 . We then stripped out the top 20 days in that 17- year period . These accounted for only 0.3 % of the total number of days but , crucially , by missing those 20 days in that 17-year period , returns dropped from an average 8.1 % per year to 1.8 % a year . This means that by missing the 20 best trading days , the final balance would have reduced from $ 380,000 to just over $ 136,000 . It ’ s simplistic , but this example highlights the importance of remaining invested . Investors must also be comfortable with the volatility in their portfolio , taking on more risk than they are comfortable with ultimately means they are more likely to feel panicked when market volatility picks up – with them looking to cash in or take funds out of their portfolios . Given the speed at which information flows around the globe these days , we often lose sight of the longer-term picture and spend time focussing on the here and now . We can check markets on our smartphone 24 hours a day , fretting that markets have fallen , forgetting why we ’ ve invested in the first place . So , when volatility picks up , it ’ s important to communicate to clients how time can be the most powerful force in investing and remembering the thoughts of Einstein , Graham and Napoleon .
HSBC Asset Management has been managing multi-asset investment solutions for over 30 years and has extensive experience working with financial advisers . A truly global asset manager with over 600 investment professionals worldwide , our portfolios aim to generate smoother returns by diversifying across markets , asset classes , geographies and investment styles .
The HSBC Global Sustainable Multi-Asset Portfolios are now available to Simply Biz members via your ‘ Risk Controlled Solutions ’. The portfolios combine a truly global and broadly diversified Multi-Asset portfolio with clear and transparent sustainable investment objectives , making them a great fit for clients that care about how they are invested .
Email : wholesale . clientservices @ hsbc . com Website : assetmanagement . hsbc . co . uk
1 Source : Bloomberg , HSBC Asset Management . Investing = MSCI AWCI Net Return Index , 1 January 2004 to 31 December 2021 . 2 Source : HSBC Asset Management , Bloomberg , Returns are for developed markets stocks - MSCI World Daily Total Return Gross World Index , as at January 2022
For Professional Clients only The material contained herein is for marketing purposes and is for your information only . This document is not contractually binding nor are we required to provide this to you by any legislative provision . It does not constitute legal , tax or investment advice or a recommendation to any reader of this material to buy or sell investments . You must not , therefore , rely on the content of this document when making any investment decisions . The value of investments and any income from them can go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amount originally invested . Approved for issue in the UK by HSBC Global Asset Management ( UK ) Limited , who are authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority . Copyright © HSBC Global Asset Management ( UK ) Limited 2022 . All rights reserved . ED 3849 . 31.012.2024 . www . assetmanagement . hsbc . com / uk
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